KPMG Budget 2025 briefing session

KPMG Budget 2025 briefing session

KPMG Budget 2025 Briefing

Was pleased to attend the annual KPMG budget briefing on Wednesday momning, 2nd Oct. at The Mansion House.  Big turn out as usual. Excellent presenters as usual: Matt Cooper , KPMG partners , Dan O’Brien and Gillian Tett .

Matt Cooper

As per usual Matt Cooper kept the pace lively and the topic interesting.  Clear that Cost of Living has been the principal issue to be addressed (not dissimilar to concerns in many countries after the long inflation run). Reminded us also of the theme of ‘politics of envy’.  (I think of Margaret Thatcher who dismissed egalitarianism as “the politics of envy, the incitement of people to regard all success as if it were something discreditable”). Seems satisfied that his fellow podcaster Ivan Yates has got things right – and that an early election will now be required to leverage the giveaways in this budget.

Dan O’Brien

Dan O’Brien drew attention to Mario Draghi’s excellent recent paper addressing EU challenges: The Future of European Competitiveness . Just also watched Emmanuel Macron at Berlin on the subject of Europe’s role in a multi polar future. . DOB is satisfied that ‘inflation is done’ and lower interest rates will follow. Interesting slide showing that our pharma exports to the US now exceed out total exports to UK. Obviously were we to see any significant attempt to relocate jobs back to the US (in particular likely to be good rather than services) this would pose a threat to ongoing corporates tax receipts. For now we are on of the very few EU countries operating with a surplus.  And while government expenditure has moved ahead significantly not on a par with the madness of the Celtic Tiger.

KPMG and Budget 2025

KPMG provided an excellent summary of the changes being included in Budget 2025– and a document summarising all of this.

Gillian Tett

Gillian Tett’s theme was ‘Life beyond the Balance Sheet’. Generaly economic outlook is positive – with some concerns re China.  US going well and looks like achieving a ‘soft landing’. But for the accountants in the audience she reminded us that the drivers of the economy have changed and are different to what we have learned. The US ‘C-suite’ are now preoccupied with new risks: geo political, political, climate, environment, medical and AI. None of this is reflected in traditional Balance Sheet thinking. Floods are now reckoned to cost the US economy $0.5tn per annum.

GT referenced four factors for growth which we have focused on: globalisation, free market capitalisation, innovation and democracy.  But these have been going in the wrong direction (think back to post WW1). She referenced growth in populism, competing memes of ‘Joy’ and ‘anger’ in US politics – although policies converging, lots of protectionism (and industrial policy) emerging – not just in the emerging economies, centralisation of power may impact innovation and autocracies ‘infecting’ democracies. All of this leading to great uncertainty – FED not clear on what policy making will look like until post election. Ireland will continue to be subject to vagaries of uncertain world – but will continue to rely on its strengths: flexibility and resilience.

Where to from here?

Difficult not to see us having an election next month – we’ve just seen a fair amount of give away in this Budget 2025. However I think what we have been hearing from Mario Draghi and Emmanual Macron should give all of us in Europe concern.  We need to catch up and work more effectivly together – be that on capital for investmentin infrastructure, energy, healthcare, innovation, artificial intelligence.

I have a particular interest in healthcare.  We recently saw the publication of the Digital Health Strategic Implementation Roadmap.  This aims to digitalise public health and deliver EHR across the country.  But in there are major resourcing and investment challenges.  Not sure the €3bn for health provides very much os what will be required to achieve this – given 50% of it is to clear up 2024 overruns.  When Draghi and Macron talk about getting ahead, innovating, investing in infrastructure, are we going to get this done in healthcare?

 

Digital Health Strategic Roadmap – Ireland – 48 projects to win

Digital Health Strategic Roadmap – Ireland – 48 projects to win

 

Digital Health Strategic Implementation Roadmap

This Digital Health Strategic Roadmap was published in July this year.  I took a few hours over the weekend to review it.  While I might like to see a little more emphasis on use of AI to drive more innovation it is fair to say the document does not lack for lots of ambition.  The document also is clear on the resources and challenges associated with this proposed 7 year implementation effort.  Having worked in the sector over the last 15 years (in private healthcare) I have had first hand experience of the challenges associated with the required levels of change. 

Interestingly the outline budget requires IT spend to go from 2.2% of total healthcare spend to 4-6%. Given current pressures on healthcare spend this would most likely require additional funding – at east until we begin to see payback in terms of efficiency post implementation.

The Summary – Digital Health Strategic Roadmap

At summary level the Roadmap aims to integrate digital technologies into Ireland’s healthcare system, promoting a patient-centered, digitally enabled environment. This roadmap aligns with key frameworks, including the Department of Health’s “Digital for Care” framework, the Sláintecare Action Plan, and the Digital Ireland Framework. It emphasises six core principles:

  • patient empowerment,
  • enhancing workforce and workplace,
  • enabling digitally connected care,
  • using data-driven services,
  • fostering a digital health ecosystem and innovation, and
  • establishing secure digital foundations.

The roadmap outlines 48 strategic initiatives over seven years, focusing on improving access, efficiency, and quality of care. It seeks to empower patients by giving them greater access to information and enhancing the healthcare workforce’s digital capabilities. Key outcomes include seamless data sharing, better patient involvement in care, and enhanced decision-making through data and analytics.

The roadmap stresses significant investment in digital infrastructure and skills, collaboration across healthcare systems, and robust governance to support this transformation. The goal is to create a more resilient, efficient, and high-quality healthcare system, benefiting patients and healthcare professionals alike

My ‘top 5’ projects

The following five projects – of 48 in total, caught my immediate attention:

  1. Electronic Health Records (EHR) Deployment: This project focuses on developing a national EHR system that provides seamless integration of patient data across various healthcare settings. This includes creating business cases, establishing standards, and setting up a procurement framework to ensure the EHR system is interoperable and secure
  2. National Shared Care Record (NCSR): Aimed at integrating health information to provide a holistic view of patient care, this initiative seeks to establish a unified care record accessible to healthcare providers across the country. This will enhance care coordination and improve patient outcomes by ensuring all relevant health data is available to caregivers
  3. Integrated Community Case Management System (ICCMS): This project aims to implement a system that supports the management of complex care cases within the community setting. By enabling better data sharing and coordination among community healthcare providers, this system will improve patient care and reduce the need for hospital admissions
  4. Digital Front Door and Managed Health Content: This initiative involves creating a central digital platform to provide health information, access to services, and digital tools for self-management. It will act as the primary entry point for patients to engage with the health system, facilitating easier access to care and information
  5. Cybersecurity Enhancement Program: Following the cyberattack on the HSE, this project is designed to bolster the digital health system’s cybersecurity infrastructure. It aims to protect patient data and healthcare systems from future cyber threats by implementing robust security measures and continuous monitoring​

Risks to the Implementation Roadmap

  • Cybersecurity Threats: There is a significant risk of cyber attacks, as demonstrated by the 2021 ransomware attack on the HSE, which disrupted patient care and access to health records. To mitigate this, a dedicated cybersecurity program is proposed to enhance the cyber resilience of the health system​
  • Funding and Resource Allocation: The roadmap requires substantial and sustained investment, estimated to be between 4% and 6% of the overall healthcare expenditure annually. Securing this funding is critical for the development of infrastructure, digital tools, and workforce skills
  • Change Management and Adoption: Successfully transitioning to a digital health system involves overcoming resistance to change within the workforce and ensuring that patients and healthcare professionals are adequately trained and supported. Effective change management and leadership are essential to facilitate this transformation
  • Data Quality and Integration: Ensuring high-quality data and seamless interoperability across various healthcare systems is crucial. Poor data quality and fragmented data sources could hinder effective care delivery and decision-making​

Other points of interest in the Digital Health Strategic Roadmap

EHR implementation

There are a range of ERP products already in place. Cerner (now Oracle Healthcare) is in the Maternity Hospitals, the National Labs and James’.  The Children’s Hospital recently selected and is implemting Epic.  Many of the other hospitals have developed and implemented other solutions over the years. On the private side MEDITECH seems to have the bulk of the market (Beacon, Mater Private, Bons and Blackrock Health).

Given the objective appears to be to have one patient recrod – sourcing data from both public and private – will be interesting to see how this unfolds in the next 2 years. With this in mind also to be noted that the private sector in general is not coding diagnosis and treatment (will this be a requirement in order to develop an effective patient record?)  Who will provide the budget for this, if required?

Digital Maturity

Strategy includes an outline digital maturity assessment – this assessment is directy relevant to the abiility of the healthcare system to take on board the level of change associated with the listed 48 projects. If the objective, as it should be, is to improve digital maturity there may be a significant requirement for development/ training/ building of sustainable teams.

Artificial Intelligence

This is addressed in a number of places in the roadmap.  In fairness digitalisation (and availability of digital data) is a prerequiste for deployment of AI.  However I suspect there are lots of opportunities to front load some of the AI delivery – even leveraging what’s available digitally now.

Shift Left, Stay Left

Great to see this called out in the roadmap – essential to move as much as possible out of acute care and back to community and/or home.  Digital plays a key role in making this happen.

What are the next steps?

A roadmap without resources (cash, people, partners) is only a roadmap.  Presumably now critical to approve funding to enable the healthcare digital transformation accelerate (and finalise the deliverables and timelines). Given pressures on staffing and resources critical to drive forward with this scope of work.

 

Love 12 hospital digital transformation spends

Love 12 hospital digital transformation spends

 

12 places hospitals are spending their hospital digital transformation budgets

Interesting research just released by McKinsey about hospital digital transformation spend. And it’s not all about EHR – but I think that’s probably because most have already done this.

The Summary findings:

  • The survey indicates a significant interest in digital transformation
  • Despite recognising AI’s potential, there is a gap in investment
  • A shift towards more patient-centric and decentralised care approaches

Think through why?

Key Insights:

High Priority on Hospital Digital Transformation: 75% of health system executives recognise digital transformation as a priority but face resource constraints.

Not that surprising: limited budgets, insufficient skilled personnel and competing priorities within healthcare organisations, making it challenging to allocate adequate resources for comprehensive digital initiatives. May also struggle to attract and retain top digital resources around Data and AI, given competition for these people.

Potential of Artificial Intelligence: 88% of healthcare leaders see AI as the technology with the most potential, yet less than half have made investments in it.

The slow adoption of AI may be due to high upfront costs, lack of expertise (clinically, administratively and IT wise), concerns about data privacy and uncertainty about the return on investment. There are lots of papers out there researching impact of use of AI in healthcare. But perhaps not enough published examples of how AI has actually improved patient safety and driven cost savings in the business.

Investment Areas in Hospital Digital Transformation:

  1. Virtual Health to Enhance Patient Experience and Access: 76%
    • Investments in telemedicine and virtual care aim to improve patient interactions with healthcare providers, increasing accessibility and convenience for patients, especially in remote areas. This is generally in line with general ‘Stay Left Shift Left’ philosophy.  Virtual care also has potential to free up much needed capacity for more complex procedures/ care.
    • Technologies such as video consultations, mobile health apps, and online patient portals are central to these improvements.
  2. Revenue Cycle Management and Back-Office Automation: 70%
    • Focusing on automating administrative tasks to improve efficiency, reduce errors, and lower operational costs, thereby streamlining financial and administrative processes in healthcare organisations.
    • This includes improved integration and adoption of standards, the use of robotic process automation (RPA) and machine learning algorithms to handle billing and claims processing.
  3. Digital Front Door: 62%
    • This is a basic recognition of the patient as a digital consumer – who is expecting a very different experience to the traditional ‘at the beck and call of the hospital/ consultant’ approach. Enhancements in digital access points for patients, such as online appointment scheduling and patient portals, aim to simplify and improve the patient experience from the first point of contact.
    • Patient engagement platforms including CRM and chatbots are key technologies driving these enhancements.
  4. Acute Care Workflow and Throughput: 58%
    • Investing in technologies to optimise patient flow and care delivery in acute settings, reducing delays and improving overall hospital efficiency and patient outcomes.
    • Real-time location systems (RTLS) and electronic health records (EHR) systems are pivotal in these initiatives.
  5. Ambulatory Care Management: 55%
    • Hospital Digital Transformation solutions for managing outpatient care enhance coordination, monitoring, and follow-up, leading to better patient outcomes and more efficient care delivery.
    • Technologies such as electronic medical records (EMR) and care management software play a crucial role.
  6. Remote Patient Monitoring: 54%
    • Technologies that allow continuous health monitoring outside traditional healthcare settings enable proactive management of chronic conditions and early intervention.
    • Wearable devices, IoT sensors, and remote monitoring platforms are integral to these efforts.
  7. Contracting or Value-Based Care: 51%
    • Implementing digital tools to support value-based care models focuses on improving patient outcomes and cost efficiency, aligning provider incentives with patient health.
    • Analytics platforms and population health management tools are essential for these models.
  8. Virtual Health to Address Labor Shortages: 48%
    • Utilising virtual health solutions helps mitigate the impact of healthcare labour shortages by extending the reach of existing healthcare professionals and services.
    • Telehealth platforms and virtual care coordination systems are key technologies in this area.
  9. Advanced Analytics, AI, Machine Learning, Generative AI: 45%
    • Leveraging advanced data analysis technologies aids in clinical decision-making, operational efficiencies, and personalised patient care, despite current investment gaps.
    • These technologies include predictive analytics, natural language processing (NLP), and AI-driven diagnostic tools.
  10. Cross-Site Capacity Management: 45%
    • Managing resources and patient flow across multiple sites improves capacity utilization and ensures that patients receive timely care in the most appropriate setting.
    • Cloud-based capacity management systems, control rooms and inter-facility coordination platforms are vital technologies.
  11. Robotics or Physical Automation: 40%
    • Investing in robotics and physical automation enhances surgical precision, logistics efficiency, and overall operational effectiveness within healthcare facilities.
    • This includes surgical robots, automated guided vehicles (AGVs), and pharmacy automation systems.
  12. “Hospital at Home”: 36%
    • Providing hospital-level care at home reduces the need for hospital stays, increases patient comfort, and can lead to better health outcomes through personalized, convenient care.
    • Remote monitoring devices, telehealth platforms, and home health software are critical components.

Conclusion re Hospital Digital Transformation

There is no doubt that healthcare providers are switched on to requirement for digital transformation (and the associated investment).  For now, while AI may be seen as representing the biggest potential impact, investment in AI would appear to rank behind a number of other initiatives: in particular: virtual care, revenue management and digital front door. However it should also be noted that all of the vendors being used across any of these initiatives are looking to embed AI in their own applications and tools.

Top of Form

Bottom of Form

 

IT Strategy – 5 elements

IT Strategy – 5 elements

 

IT Strategy – designed to generate Business Advantage through Technology

Over the last several years we have worked with a number of businesses to develop it strategy and business strategy. Sometimes this has resulted in one inclusive document, on other occasions standalone, but cross referenced, Business and IT Strategy documents.

In any strategy work over the last several years I have tended to assess our approach against Richard Rumelt’s framework (outlined in ‘Good Strategy, Bad Strategy’).

Have always liked his approach to business strategy and it also lends itself well to IT Strategy work.

There are five elements:

  • Diagnosis
  • Policy
  • Coherent actions
  • Execution
  • Continuous improvement and learning

 

DIAGNOSIS

You are not going to develop worthwhile thinking and planning re IT without understanding the business and its challenges and opportunities.  In completing a diagnosis would look to address the following:

  • Understand the business: business environment, market trends, customer requirements, competitors. Readiness/ willingness to change.
  • Stakeholders – identify (shareholders, management, employees, customers, regulators, etc) and understand expectations, attitude to change, competition, adapting.
  • Assess current IT – including infrastructure, processes, data management and support for informed decision making
  • Research industry trends as may impact company competitiveness – data analytics, artificial intelligence, robotics, etc
  • Identify opportunities/ challenges for the business which can be addressed through IT enhancement/ innovation

GUIDING POLICY

  • Align to business priorities – including innovation, agility, customer centricity – recognising importance of data
  • Define core principles and values that guide IT decision-making, while ensuring alignment with stakeholder expectations and company values. Consider cybersecurity, Mobile, Data, Artificial Intelligence, Build v. Buy, Platform centric, Interoperatibility, Cloud/ On Prem/ Hybrid – emphasise flexibility, adaptability and responsiveness to the market and competition.
  • Prioritise initiatives that supporting strategic objectives, drive operational efficiency, and enable the company to exploit opportunities.

 

COHERENT ACTIONS

  • Develop required actions/ projects to address the key business challenges and opportunities
  • Prioritise these actions in context of impact for the business, while understanding any interdependencies across the actions/ projects
  • Align resources in line with prioritisation – designed to deliver innovation, growth, competitiveness with a focus on data and analytics to identify/ uncover additional actions of value to the business.

EXECUTION

  • Deliver business advantage. Execute the identified projects in line with the agreed prioritisation. Demonstrate tangibl benefits to the relevant stakeholders..
  • Communicate with all relevant stakeholders while executing each project. Ensure timely feedback and understanding of changes/ impact across the business.
  • Capture and use data to demonstrate project progress and to measure actual Business Advantage delivered.

CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT AND LEARNING

  • Feedback – gather feedback from users and stakeholders – to identify further opportunities for improvements and /or innovation – potentially at policy level, with respect to completed or ongoing projects or identification of potential new projects.
  • Promote culture of continuous improvement and innovation – ensuring understanding of the business in IT and across the business the capability of emerging technologies. Encourage experimentation and data driven research.
  • Monitor emerging business and technology trends – to identify further opportunities to drive efficiency, grow the business and improve customer experience.

FITTING WITH OUR APPROACH

While strategy may be determined over a fixed period of time the dynamics of the current business environment very much drive the requirement that the strategy is a living strategy – and Rumelt’s inclusion and emphasis on Continuous Improvement and Learning speaks well to this.  Typically we see the Section Guiding Policy as being critical to providing the framework for ongoing IT decision making.  It too may be subject to change – given the velocity of new developments e.g. Generative AI. We typically look to capture the ‘Coherent Actions’ in a Tech Roadmap – agreed jointly between all relevant stakeholders.  Typically we are looking at 18 to 24 months for such a roadmap – and within this time it may itself be subject to review and/or overhaul.  For us critical that the Execution of the prioritised projects delivers the targeted Business Advantage. Communication, Data and Feedback are all key to this.

What are the 4 main points of IT strategic planning?

In developing an IT Strategy we are looking to use IT in a business to achieve business objectives.  So the main points are:

  1. Understand the business objectives and the business itself (how it operates)
  2. Prioritise/ focus efforts on IT according to its potential to drive achievement of those objectives
  3. Manage/ develop IT in such a way as to provide the required flexibility to support the business as it reacts to the marketplace, new trends, competitors
  4. Manage data as a stratgic asset of the business

CONCLUSION

We have found Rumelt very useful in it strategy development – driving the focus toward Coherent Actions, aligned with Business Priorities and which will drive realisation of Business Advantage through Technology.

 

 

 

Getting strategy right

Will be interesting to see how Elon Musk and Tesla go forward – what changes, if any, getting strategy right. On the face of it looks tricky: slowing global economies, higher finance costs for consumers, significant additional capacity coming on line, competitors catching up, Tesla cars more expensive than previously.

Musk has attracted mixed coverage for his Twitter take over – at the same time as his car company is experiencing these challenges. How much does the Twitter acquisition impact sales of Tesla cars? Are current/ potential Tesla owners concerned that the founder may be distracted? Are Tesla shareholders concerned?

But Musk and Tesla have been and continue to be innovators – and competitors should not underestimate this commitment to getting the tech right, creating new experiences for drivers. Why would Tesla not continue to deliver new ideas, innovations, enhanced experiences?

In some ways reminds me of Ryanair and Michael O’Leary. O’Leary has been the people’s champion – low cost flights, enabling travels for the masses. He has not always been popular – and some of his PR stunts have not always been well received. But he has stayed focused, he seems to have used each recession as an opportunity to strengthen his business. He has created capacity heading into (or during) downturns – only to accelerate in the upswing. He has weathered economic downturns and COVID19.

Will be interesting to see how Tesla moves forward. Reminded me of Rumelt’s ‘Good Strategy Bad Strategy: The core of strategy work is always the same: discovering the critical factors in a situation and designing a way of coordinating and focusing actions to deal with those factors. A leader’s most important responsibility is identifying the biggest challenges to forward progress and devising a coherent approach to overcoming them.